|
Why 90,579 is the NHL’s most important number |
|
|
|
|
|
Accident recovery update…. Still hurting quite a bit. Don’t ever break your clavicle and your rib at the same time. Seeing an orthopedist. Still dictating into the computer in my blog so I’m sorry for some typos….
I ran numbers through a popular AI today to try to determine where we might be going with some of the new salaries coming up. In my job I’ve always found this number to be very important, the The single hardest is part of my job is who do I call today? With connections to the GM’s and most of the agents along with other NHL people in general. I don’t want to just waste my time and randomly call around. So I’ve been calculating this number every year myself. thank God for AI.
Today we’re just going to focus on forwards. And how much they got paid per production in 24/25.
The first thing I wanted to see was if there was a difference between centers and wingers when it comes to point production per salary. And there really isn’t, centers and right wings were almost identical, and left wings were just a minuscule take less. Making the difference statistically insignificant…
So how much money do players actually get paid per point in the NHL?
This number will stagger those of us who work for a living, but last season that averaged out to be…but it was $83,253…. Yeah, right?
Since Covid, the salary cap has raised about 3.3% per year. However, over the next three years , it’s projected to raise about 8.8% per year..
So if we take the 83, 253 number and raise it by the cap increase of 8.8% We get the magic number, $90, 579
Using these numbers, we can come up with the rough estimates and figure out what a player was worth last year and where his contract should be next year on a one-year deal. Multiple years change everything because the more years the less a player might be willing to take per year, etc.. of course also we’re talking about players who will be in bidding wars so these numbers are probably low the starting points… remember the basic Econ 101 concept stating “ something is as valuable as what someone will pay for it.”
So all these numbers will look lower with the superstars that you would expect. But this is based on the league average and the points projected over 82 games in 24/25.
Mitch Marner: $8.46M
San Bennet: $4.87M. Playoff numbers much higher
Nik Ehlers: $6.77M
John Tavares: $7.48M
Brock Boeser: $4.87M
Matt Duchene: $7.56M
I am going to get into the RFA‘s next because they might be more appropriate to exactly where they end up. The numbers of the star players are going to be low, but they also give you an idea of how much each should be valued based on just points.
Of course, with star players, that’s not the only value they carry for a team.
Join the Discussion:
»