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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Defensive Depth Continue To Be Glaring Issue; Leafs vs. Blues
Author Message
Arctic_AARDVARK
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Split rock, Nipigon River., ON
Joined: 07.24.2011

Feb 21 @ 1:01 PM ET
You are getting obsessed with me liking hockey, that is what's sad

Do you want to say I have never heard of Roy for a 3rd time? Keep convincing yourself that I am not way too into this sport if you'd like. You are only wasting your time.

If anything I spend way too much time talking about hockey, most of us do.

- Santo_44

You’ve edited this post 3 times now.

If anything reeks of obsession, it’s that.
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Feb 21 @ 1:02 PM ET
I’m not tossing around accusations or anything, but this is starting to sound a lot like a case of you accusing me of what you are.

The Ole Donny/Geobbels accuse the other side of what you are tactic.

- Arctic_AARDVARK

Nah I am just piggy backing on what the other posters are saying. The ones that constantly get into it with you.

And you say you rock EI all the time, so yeah you are unemployed and have a hole to fill and want to buy a jet ski.

I am caught up.
Arctic_AARDVARK
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Split rock, Nipigon River., ON
Joined: 07.24.2011

Feb 21 @ 1:02 PM ET
It is hilarious that you are unemployed.

Buy a jet ski though, that will fill that hole

- Santo_44

Sea-doo bud.
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Feb 21 @ 1:02 PM ET
You’ve edited this post 3 times now.

If anything reeks of obsession, it’s that.

- Arctic_AARDVARK


The irony
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Feb 21 @ 1:02 PM ET
Sea-doo bud.
- Arctic_AARDVARK

A money pit that adds zero value to life but you feel the need to buy because you have a hole to fill in life.
Arctic_AARDVARK
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Split rock, Nipigon River., ON
Joined: 07.24.2011

Feb 21 @ 1:05 PM ET
Nah I am just piggy backing on what the other posters are saying. The ones that constantly get into it with you.

And you say you rock EI all the time, so yeah you are unemployed and have a hole to fill and want to buy a jet ski.

I am caught up.

- Santo_44


You should buy a jet-ski. Oh wait, you can’t swim!


You’re so stupid Santo, that you don’t realize that 3 years has passed since I was paving in AB.

Go jump in a lake
Arctic_AARDVARK
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Split rock, Nipigon River., ON
Joined: 07.24.2011

Feb 21 @ 1:06 PM ET
A money pit that adds zero value to life but you feel the need to buy because you have a hole to fill in life.
- Santo_44

You sound like someone who never owned, or driven a sea-doo
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Feb 21 @ 1:08 PM ET
You sound like someone who never owned, or driven a sea-doo
- Arctic_AARDVARK


Nope, they require at least 3 divorces and at least 4 child support payments to own one.
Arctic_AARDVARK
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Split rock, Nipigon River., ON
Joined: 07.24.2011

Feb 21 @ 1:13 PM ET
Nope, they require at least 3 divorces and at least 4 child support payments to own one.
- Santo_44

And they require being able to swim.

That’s the scary part, right Santo?
dmnted
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Space for Rent
Joined: 08.30.2006

Feb 21 @ 1:19 PM ET
Nope, they require at least 3 divorces and at least 4 child support payments to own one.
- Santo_44

I must ask - Are you paying for child support for 4 kids or are you a deadbeat dad?

since you did bring it up.


sorry for interrupting the AA and Satos show.
Arctic_AARDVARK
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Split rock, Nipigon River., ON
Joined: 07.24.2011

Feb 21 @ 1:22 PM ET
I must ask - Are you paying for child support for 4 kids or are you a deadbeat dad?

since you did bring it up.


sorry for interrupting the AA and Satos show.

- dmnted

Where there’s smoke there’s fire…
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Feb 21 @ 1:23 PM ET
I must ask - Are you paying for child support for 4 kids or are you a deadbeat dad?

since you did bring it up.


sorry for interrupting the AA and Satos show.

- dmnted


Nope, I have a wonderful healthy family

The Law
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 01.29.2008

Feb 21 @ 1:23 PM ET
The RHD market is so (frank)ing thin. Honestly if the Kraken want to compete the next 3-4 years they should hold onto those guys.

Go to cap friendly and put in RHD...The list of potentially available DECENT players are bare.

Roy
Tanev

Parayko
Walker
Pesce
Andersson(maybe)
Dumba

players who probably wont be available until FA 2024

Myers
Hakannpa


I think Tre will be all over these bolded guys in FA if he doesn't already trade for them at the TDL.

- Santo_44


I have to wonder if the past 4 games has allowed Keefe/Tre to consider sitting tight and just making a "Schenn-like" addition instead of anything bigger. Brodie and Lilly look good together ...Benoit and McCabe ...just need a veteran banger to play with Rielly and maybe they can envision 3 decent pairings. Gio and Timmy as backups.

If so ....maybe the easy play is to add an Eric Johnson or maybe a Seeler/Walker/Carrier type. He can save his bullets for summer and still show the team he's makin' moves.
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Feb 21 @ 1:26 PM ET
Where's Monkey?
I need 10 paragraphs to read!




- Fakepartofme


I was actually at the gym. We're going to Mexico next month and I'm no longer fit. I don't want to get mistakenly airlifted out to sea in a helicopter by a bunch of Mexican do-gooders, so I'm trying to lose a bit of weight in a month. It's ridiculous but it also makes my wife happy.

The simple part of Era Adjustment is to pick a net netural comparison - so the one they typically use is 6 goals / game. If you adjust everyone to fit their stats in a 6 goal/game model average you can start to figure it out.

Generally you have a calculation that looks at the number of roster players on a team (like in 1981-82 there were 17, not 18 like today - that adjustment happened the next year). The same calculation looks at the number of games in a season obviously, and then the important one is to look at the total number of goals scored in the league minus the player you're looking at divided by games (so all team games divided by 2) to determine the goals/game - and then divide that by 6 (which gives you the 6 goal/game factor).

So Gretzky's 92 goal season game in a year when the average goals per game were 7.92 (without Gretz), the roster was 17 players and they played 80 games. So if you calculate that out, it's 92 x (17/18) x (82/80) x 6/7.92 and you get 68 goals.

This year Matthews' 49 goals in 53 games come in an as yet unfinished season - but scoring is at a rate of 6.12 (without Matthews). The roster impact is 1, so it's not important, but the games in the unfinished season give a 1.47 multiplier - so you have 49 x 1.47 x .98 x 1 which gives you a 71 goal era adjusted total.

That suggests that Matthews is scoring at a more prolific rate than Gretzky's 92 goal season.
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Feb 21 @ 1:26 PM ET
I have to wonder if the past 4 games has allowed Keefe/Tre to consider sitting tight and just making a "Schenn-like" addition instead of anything bigger. Brodie and Lilly look good together ...Benoit and McCabe ...just need a veteran banger to play with Rielly and maybe they can envision 3 decent pairings. Gio and Timmy as backups.

If so ....maybe the easy play is to add an Eric Johnson or maybe a Seeler/Walker/Carrier type. He can save his bullets for summer and still show the team he's makin' moves.

- The Law


Yeah I mean the big fish that makes sense is Hanifin...just a lot of risk there so maybe they do not go that route.

The Walker/Carrier types are small D men...I find it hard to believe those are the guys Tre gets.

They have that 1st which is a solid bullet in the chamber that some other top teams are lacking.
GalacticStone
Tampa Bay Lightning
Location: U Jealous of my Meteor
Joined: 01.29.2013

Feb 21 @ 1:37 PM ET
I was actually at the gym. We're going to Mexico next month and I'm no longer fit. I don't want to get mistakenly airlifted out to sea in a helicopter by a bunch of Mexican do-gooders, so I'm trying to lose a bit of weight in a month. It's ridiculous but it also makes my wife happy.

The simple part of Era Adjustment is to pick a net netural comparison - so the one they typically use is 6 goals / game. If you adjust everyone to fit their stats in a 6 goal/game model average you can start to figure it out.

Generally you have a calculation that looks at the number of roster players on a team (like in 1981-82 there were 17, not 18 like today - that adjustment happened the next year). The same calculation looks at the number of games in a season obviously, and then the important one is to look at the total number of goals scored in the league minus the player you're looking at divided by games (so all team games divided by 2) to determine the goals/game - and then divide that by 6 (which gives you the 6 goal/game factor).

So Gretzky's 92 goal season game in a year when the average goals per game were 7.92 (without Gretz), the roster was 17 players and they played 80 games. So if you calculate that out, it's 92 x (17/18) x (82/80) x 6/7.92 and you get 68 goals.

This year Matthews' 49 goals in 53 games come in an as yet unfinished season - but scoring is at a rate of 6.12 (without Matthews). The roster impact is 1, so it's not important, but the games in the unfinished season give a 1.47 multiplier - so you have 49 x 1.47 x .98 x 1 which gives you a 71 goal era adjusted total.

That suggests that Matthews is scoring at a more prolific rate than Gretzky's 92 goal season.

- Monkeypunk

Matthews > Gretzky.

Confirmed. E5.
Big23Questions
Detroit Red Wings
Location: CrkPlanet, BC
Joined: 04.11.2018

Feb 21 @ 1:39 PM ET
…in all seriousness though - the only divorced unemployed EI deadbeat is tat Canucks fan Marwood. Buddy literally brags about it.


I can’t say I looked at any PK stats - but I personally see Marner being a bit better on the PK. 5v5 I think Marner is a gong show most nights though.

Both exceptional players talent wise and are fun to watch. Too bad rest of roster though from having both and JT. But again you guys are lucky to watch that talent each night.
shack67
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: NS
Joined: 07.05.2015

Feb 21 @ 1:46 PM ET
Matthews > Gretzky.

Confirmed. E5.

- GalacticStone

Back in the day the goaltending was awful, nobody backchecked, no defensive systems, defenders didn’t stand in front of shots. So what Matthews is doing is pretty impressive.

But I would trade 2 of Matthews for 1 of Gretzky.
Arctic_AARDVARK
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Split rock, Nipigon River., ON
Joined: 07.24.2011

Feb 21 @ 1:47 PM ET
Back in the day the goaltending was awful, nobody backchecked, no defensive systems, defenders didn’t stand in front of shots. So what Matthews is doing is pretty impressive.

But I would trade 2 of Matthews for 1 of Gretzky.

- shack67

Really?

I’m not sure Gretzky could still play.
shack67
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: NS
Joined: 07.05.2015

Feb 21 @ 1:49 PM ET
…in all seriousness though - the only divorced unemployed EI deadbeat is tat Canucks fan Marwood. Buddy literally brags about it.


I can’t say I looked at any PK stats - but I personally see Marner being a bit better on the PK. 5v5 I think Marner is a gong show most nights though.

Both exceptional players talent wise and are fun to watch. Too bad rest of roster though from having both and JT. But again you guys are lucky to watch that talent each night.

- Big23Questions

I think Marner is the better player over Nylander and I think any other team would pick Marner all day. But I like Willy too.
shack67
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: NS
Joined: 07.05.2015

Feb 21 @ 1:49 PM ET
Really?

I’m not sure Gretzky could still play.

- Arctic_AARDVARK

Strider
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 01.16.2013

Feb 21 @ 1:51 PM ET
his lack of blood clotting risk
- drexel


Or his decreased chance of acquiring Bieber face or mini strokes like Mrs.Bieber.
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Feb 21 @ 1:51 PM ET
I was actually at the gym. We're going to Mexico next month and I'm no longer fit. I don't want to get mistakenly airlifted out to sea in a helicopter by a bunch of Mexican do-gooders, so I'm trying to lose a bit of weight in a month. It's ridiculous but it also makes my wife happy.
- Monkeypunk

Don't rent a jet ski while you are down there.
Scabeh
Montreal Canadiens
Location: The Slovakian Jagr, QC
Joined: 02.25.2007

Feb 21 @ 1:53 PM ET
You know a pilot, eh?

Well (frank), can’t argue with that.

- Arctic_AARDVARK


Big23Questions
Detroit Red Wings
Location: CrkPlanet, BC
Joined: 04.11.2018

Feb 21 @ 1:58 PM ET
I think Marner is the better player over Nylander and I think any other team would pick Marner all day. But I like Willy too.
- shack67



I would agree Marner is better - but it’s by a very small margin. Especially looking at 5v5 impact, both wingers, offence first players, primary points. I think a team would maybe be tempted to get Willy if they have set guys and are more looking for goals.
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